Venture Capital Benchmark

Q1 2020

North America, Europe and Latin America.

Welcome To The Status of Venture Capital Report for Q1 2020

Join us remotely February 22nd - 26th to learn how your  startup can build a repeatable playbook to acquire, retain & grow customers.

We will be breaking down VC activity in the US, EU, and LatAm and what it means to you as an investor or founder. After going through extensive market intelligence from the industry's most trusted sources, here’s the top-line review of what went down in the VC world last quarter…

Q1 in a nutshell

Before COVID-19 (Q1 ‘ 20)

The market was in a post-WeWork saga, where investors were shifting from a ‘growth at all costs’ mentality to ‘growth with reasonable unit economics and a path to profitability’.

Before COVID-19 hit, round sizes and valuations were getting bigger and more expensive while the number of deals was shrinking.

Post COVID-19 (Q2 ‘ 20 onwards)

It Is Too Early To Show Any Meaningful Change In Q1’20 Due To COVID-19

We Have Seen A Rapid Surge Of Activity In Some Verticals

While many pre-COVID-19 activities have significantly slowed or even completely stopped — such as travel and leisure — we have seen a rapid surge of activity in other verticals. Video Conferencing tool Zoom went from 10 million to 200 million daily meeting participants in just 3 months. Slack reported an 80% increase in paid customers from February 1st to March 25th. Microsoft teams reported almost 4x w-o-w growth in daily active users in March

Accelerated growth in key verticals

COVID-19 Made Many People And Companies Realize That Technology Has More To Offer

Let’s Look At The Numbers….

What To Expect

A big slow down is coming

Investments In Early-Stage Deals Are Expected To Slow Down

Uncertain capital calls

Venture Capital Funds Will Slow Down Their Cash Deployment

Valuations will inevitably take a hit in the short/medium term

This is further accelerated by the public market crash which is causing revenue multiples to drop.

Join us remotely February 22nd - 26th to learn how your  startup can build a repeatable playbook to acquire, retain & grow customers.

  • We are already seeing this across the board, with most valuations dropping by 20% or more [NFX].

  • Founders will be forced to rethink their strategy and become more cash efficient. As the new common saying goes, ‘runway is the new product/market fit’.

  • During the 08/09 crisis, median round sizes and valuations went down across all stages, to as much as 30% less due to market pressure [Kauffman Fellows].

Unclear when it will normalize

We Foresee A Nike Swoosh Recovery In The Latter Half Of 2020

Wait But, Innovation Loves A Crisis

While it`s easy to be concerned...

We Must Not Turn A Blind Eye On The Opportunities Being Created

If history repeats itself...

Past Economic Recessions Served As A Launchpad For Some Of The World’s Most Successful Businesses Today

This includes Disney (founded in the Great Depression of 1929), Microsoft (oil crisis of 1975), and Whatsapp, Uber, Slack and Square (all founded in the Great Recession of 2008-09). It comes as no surprise that the best-performing vintages tend to be those that invest at the nadir of a downturn and into the early stage of recovery. For instance, 2009 is the first vintage since the 1990s where VC funds produced a median IRR in the double digits, and returns have remained strong for vintages through the 2010s as well [Pitchbook]

Industries Taking Off As A Result Of COVID-19

Uncertain capital calls

Companies Are Accelerating Their Digital Transformation In Order To Survive

The opportunities of the decade

Investing in the businesses that can quickly capitalize on these changes

Below are some of the sectors we are paying close attention to as a new world is being shaped:

Work-from-home solutions

We are in the early stages of a transformational trend when it comes to remote work. This will grow exponentially in functionality and importance.  This will play positively for productivity tools, cloud services and cybersecurity solutions.

Edtech is now going mainstream

We foresee an acceleration of adoption and utilization and a higher degree of consolidation in the market. This means more players offering broader solutions in place of dozens of tools that need to be patched together.

Telehealth is seeing a big boost

Driven by at-home confinement. We expect this to continue long after the pandemic once people realize the value provided by these platforms. Connected devices will also surge in order to increase the efficacy of telemedicine. AI applied to healthcare – from diagnostics to outbreak detection– will allow the healthcare system to reduce workload, optimize resources and improve the quality of care.

Telehealth is seeing a big boost

Driven by at-home confinement. We expect this to continue long after the pandemic once people realize the value provided by these platforms. Connected devices will also surge in order to increase the efficacy of telemedicine. AI applied to healthcare – from diagnostics to outbreak detection– will allow the healthcare system to reduce workload, optimize resources and improve the quality of care.

IoT

Population tracking software and analytics have been part of government responses to the virus, especially in Asia. Smart-city platforms may be benefited from the situation, as public entities prepare for future response.

Virtual & Augmented Reality

As travel continues to see more restrictions, indoor/at-home entertainment is going to surge. Devices like smart glasses and technologies like virtual and augmented reality will become increasingly more popular.

Humanless, Contactless technology

As the ‘new normal’ materializes, we expect an increase in demand for touchless devices such as digital contactless payments, facial recognition and voice-command devices. Autonomous vehicle companies are also positioned to come out of COVID-19 much stronger. With social distancing in place, getting groceries, toiletries and other essential needs has become increasingly challenging. The use of robots, self-driving cars and drones —recently thought of as something so farfetched and out into the future— is making a lot more sense now.

We Encourage Founders To Think Of The Unimaginable

While it`s easy to be concerned...

White these are clear trends that are evolving...

Closing Thoughts....

Valuations will take a hit in the short/medium-term and most founders should expect at least 20-30% drop in valuations from pre-COVID level

Join us remotely February 22nd - 26th to learn how your  startup can build a repeatable playbook to acquire, retain & grow customers.

  • VCs are also slowing their investment pace amid fundraising crunch and uncertain capital calls with LPs.

  • At the same time, VCs are keen on verticals that are seeing a surge in growth and market penetration incl. e-commerce, EdTEch, HealthTech, AI, and cloud infrastructure.

  • Founders should expect deal terms to shift back in favor of investors, particularly in early-stage VC, where the mismatch is capital and opportunities is most pronounced.

  • Founders must rethink their strategy and become more cash efficient. It’s all about runway now! Also, the market has shifted from a ‘growth at all costs’ mentality to ‘growth with reasonable unit economics and a path to profitability’.